4 Nov

THE NEW NORMAL

General

Posted by: Patti MacLennan

’Tis the season… this was no surprise here! The latest round of mortgage guidelines has been announced by OSFI, or Office of the Superintendent of Financial Institutions. As of January 1, 2018, all conventional or uninsured mortgages will have to qualify at the Bank of Canada 5-year fixed rate or the contractual rate + 2%, whatever is greater.
What does this mean? Nothing for anyone wanting to renew or buy real estate with less than 20% down.
But anyone wanting to access their equity might just have to consider a slightly lower amount. And those wanting to purchase real estate with 20%+ down may need to adjust their expectations or relocate their search area.
Regardless of your scenario, there will still be options to exercise.
Next question on many people’s minds is how this will affect prices. Based historical data, I predict that there will be very little decrease in prices. Most people thought the ‘bubble’ was going to explode. Most comments were, “It just has to, how can prices continue to increase?” Well guess what… prices have continued to increase. Some market segments will experience a slight softening, but nothing drastic.
Here is a list of changes issued by OSFI since 2006. Did any of them bring prices down?

2006
Maximum amortization 40 years
100% financing, 0% down payment

2008
Maximum amortization 35 years
Maximum 95% financing, minimum 5% down payment required

2011
Maximum amortization 30 years
Refinance maximum 85% of the market value

2012
Maximum amortization 25 years
Refinance maximum 80% of the market value
If mortgage insurance is required, then the maximum purchase price of the owner-occupied home is $1,000,000

2015
Minimum down payment – 5% of the first $500,000 and 10% on the portion remaining

2016
Qualification rate increases to Bank of Canada benchmark rate for all insurable files (less than 20% down)

2017
Conventional (20% down or greater) stress test increases to contract rate plus 200 basis points (2%) or the Bank of Canada benchmark rate, whatever is greater

2018
What will happen in 2018?

There is no need to slam your fist on the panic button. This is simply the new normal for mortgage finance consumers. The sun will still rise in the east and set in the west. The earth will continue to rotate in a counterclockwise direction. People will still buy and sell real estate. Those consumers with available equity will still have access to it and borrowers will still renew existing mortgages. If you are receiving or buying into “the world is ending” type information, please look away… it’s wrong and misleading.
Nothing changes.
If you are worried about things you cannot control, stop it! If you are going to put any energy into something, I would recommend building a bulletproof personal borrowing profile. More than ever it’s vitally important to have AAA credit, minimal-to-zero consumer debt and strong reliable income and savings. If you start with that, I can assure you everything will be OK!
If you have any plans to become an active mortgage consumer, start looking at your options now as some lenders will adopt the new rules before January 1, 2018. If you have any questions, feel free to contact a Dominion Lending Centres mortgage specialist.

Written by Michael Hallett

3 Nov

PAYMENT FREQUENCY, DOES IT REALLY MAKE A DIFFERENCE?

General

Posted by: Patti MacLennan

It has been said that there are two certainties in life; death and taxes. Well, as it relates to your mortgage, the single certainty is that you will pay back what you borrowed, plus interest. However, how you make your mortgage payments, the payment frequency, is somewhat up to you! The following is a look at the different types of payment frequencies and how they will impact you and your bottom line.

Here are the six main payment frequency types:

  1. Monthly payments – 12 payments per year
  2. Semi-Monthly payments – 24 payments per year
  3. Bi-weekly payments – 26 payments per year
  4. Weekly payments – 52 payments per year
  5. Accelerated bi-weekly payments – 26 payments per year
  6. Accelerated weekly payments – 52 payments per year

Options one through four are designed to match your payment frequency with your employer. So if you get paid monthly, it makes sense to arrange your mortgage payments to come out a few days after payday. If you’re paid every second Friday, it might make sense to have your mortgage payments match your payday! These are lifestyle choices, and will of course pay down your mortgage as agreed in your mortgage contract, and will run the full length of your amortization.
However, options five and six have that word accelerated attached… and they do just that, they accelerate how fast you are able to pay down your mortgage. Here’s how that works.
With the accelerated bi-weekly payment frequency, you make 26 payments in the year, but instead of making the total annual payment divided by 26 payments, you divide the total annual payment by 24 payments (as if the payments were being set as semi-monthly) and you make 26 payments at the higher amount.

So let’s say your monthly payment is $2,000.
Bi-weekly payment : $2,000 x 12 / 26 = $923.07
Accelerated bi-weekly payment $2,000 x 12 / 24 = $1,000

You see, by making the accelerated bi-weekly payments, it’s like you’re actually making two extra payments each year. It’s these extra payments that add up and reduce your mortgage principal, which then saves you interest on the total life of your mortgage.
The payments for accelerated weekly work the same way, it’s just that you’d be making 52 payments a year instead of 26.
Essentially by choosing an accelerated option for your payment frequency, you are lowering the overall cost of borrowing, and making small extra payments as part of your regular cash flow.
Now, It’s hard to nail down exactly how much interest you would save over the course of a 25 year amortization, because your total mortgage is broken up into terms with different interest rates along the way. However, given todays rates, an accelerated bi-weekly payment schedule could reduce your amortization by up to three and a half years.
If you’d like to have a look at some of the mortgage numbers as they relate to you, please don’t hesitate to contact a Dominion Lending Centres mortgage specialist who would love to work with you and help you find the mortgage (and the mortgage payment frequency).

Written by Michael Hallett

2 Nov

TRUDEAU GOVERNMENT INCREASES SPENDING AS THE ECONOMY NEARS FULL EMPLOYMENT

General

Posted by: Patti MacLennan

0abebf1d-3a9d-4ccb-a40a-dccc2b0f6169The Canadian economy has grown at a stronger-than-expected annual rate of 3.7% in the past year, taking the jobless rate down to its lowest level in nearly a decade. With Canada’s economy the strongest in the Group of Seven countries, Ottawa now projects much smaller deficits than it did in March. The Liberal government cut its deficit projection for the fiscal year that ends March 31 to just under $20.0 billion, down from $28.5 billion in the March budget. It now expects a cumulative deficit over the coming five fiscal years of $86.5 billion, compared with $120 billion previously.

Finance Minister Bill Morneau announced new spending today totalling $7.7 billion over six years, bringing the total new spending since the March budget to $19.1 billion over six years. This additional stimulus comes as the economy is running far faster than its long-run potential noninflationary pace, rapidly approaching full capacity. The Bank of Canada has already raised interest rates twice since the summer and meets again on Wednesday. While we do not expect the Bank to hike rates tomorrow, additional fiscal stimulus runs the risk of ever tighter monetary policy–meaning higher interest rates than otherwise would be the case down the road. Higher interest rates slow interest-sensitive spending and nothing is as sensitive to rates as home purchases. With all the government’s concern about the record level of household debt, tighter monetary policy might well be welcome.

The government has already taken repeated actions to slow the housing market. Most recently, the federal financial institutions’ regulator, OSFI, has tightened the stress testing for non-insured mortgage borrowers effective in January.

Deficit spending, particularly the enhanced child benefit system, has undeniably been fueling consumption. The government announced today it would index its marquee Canada Child Benefit to inflation beginning in July 2018, two years earlier than scheduled. It also expanded the Working Income Tax Benefit, which supplements the earnings of low-income workers, starting in 2019. It also reduced the small business tax rate to 10%, announced last week, and it snuck in changes to the tax system that “ensure low corporate tax rates go towards supporting businesses, not to the top 1% of income earners”. In that regard, Ottawa is proceeding with a new tax on investment income held in private corporations and will detail the measure in its 2018 budget.

Trudeau’s team has been backtracking on a trio of tax proposals unveiled by Morneau in July and offered new details in its update on Tuesday. It will proceed to restrict so-called income sprinkling — paying family members who don’t work for a firm — with new legislation due later this year. The Liberals will also tax investment income held in private corporations when it exceeds $50,000 annually, releasing rules for that in its 2018 budget. It has abandoned a third proposal, which changed capital gains rules.

Despite the improved economic outlook, there is no forecast to return to budgetary balance, although the debt-to-GDP ratio does fall more rapidly than in the 2017 budget.

Written by Dr. Sherry Cooper